(Truthdig) - When large and powerful countries
intervene in the affairs of smaller countries, they take for granted
that they are, or should be—and certainly could be—in control. The
reverse is often true. The smaller country is using the bigger one in
its own game, which is far more important to it, and which it knows far
more about.
In the war with the Taliban in
Afghanistan, not much is being said about India. What has India to do
with it? The Indians and Pakistanis are engaged in a competition to
dominate or control the new Afghanistan after the U.S. is gone—a
departure, they know, which sooner or later will arrive.
India and Pakistan have been at war three
times since the partition of India created Pakistan and placed
Kashmir—a Muslim state—under Indian rule. The two have been fighting
over Kashmir, openly or secretly, ever since.
Pakistan, the smaller and less populous
state, is vulnerable to India, which has nuclear weapons, which it
tested in May 1998, prompting Pakistan to reveal its own nuclear arms
with six tests of its own.
One of George W. Bush’s boasts in foreign
policy is that he has made India, longtime critic of America, into a
friend by giving it an unprecedented bilateral nuclear arrangement with
the U.S., and by touting India as China’s democratic challenger in
Asia.
Indian diplomacy is active in Central
Asia, in the countries that are the homelands of Afghanistan’s Uzbek
and Tajik ethnic minorities, rivals of the Pathans (or Pashtuns) who
are the dominant community in Pakistan, and among whom the Taliban
political-religious movement developed during the 1990s, with support
from Pakistani intelligence.
Islamabad considers this an effort to
strategically outflank and encircle Pakistan. A Taliban-dominated
Afghanistan was, before 2001, thought by Pakistani leaders to provide
them strategic depth.
India has also been one of the main
sources of aid for the U.S.-supported Afghan government. President
Hamid Karzai has been on a visit to New Delhi, where he received $450
million to add to the $750 million already promised by India. Indian
companies and workers are active in highway-building and hydroelectric
projects in Afghanistan.
On July 7, a car-bomb attack on the Indian
Embassy in Kabul killed more than 50, including two Indian diplomats.
The Afghan government has accused Pakistan’s Inter-Services
Intelligence agency of being responsible, which Pakistan denies.
It is well known that the powerful
Pakistan military intelligence service was deeply involved with the
United States in organizing and supporting the mujahedeen who drove the
Russian army out of Afghanistan in 1989, and subsequently sponsored the
Taliban movement, which took power.
The seriously deteriorating military
situation in Afghanistan is understood in most of the American press
and government as a straightforward matter. The United States ran the
Taliban out of Afghanistan in 2001 and installed a new government,
which the U.N. approves. While we were in Iraq and not paying attention
to Afghanistan, the Taliban came back to that country.
Now they have to be defeated again, and
the Pakistanis are not cooperating the way they should, since they are
America’s allies and Washington has made a big investment in Pakistan.
The United States wants action in locating
and fighting Taliban sites inside Pakistan’s Tribal Territories, where
government authority has always been sketchy and relations with the
Pathan tribes politically tricky.
The new Pakistan government, formed after
popular demonstrations against President Musharraf for his pro-American
policies forced a national election earlier this year, has assured
Washington that it will create a new paramilitary force to operate in
the territories.
But the parties elected in February, who
now govern Pakistan, want peace negotiations with the tribal forces in
the frontier territories and the militants involved with the Taliban.
They were elected for that purpose. They are putting pressure on the
United States to halt or limit airstrikes in the frontier region, which
they claim have a high rate of collateral damage and mistaken targeting
of innocent gatherings.
The conventional American reaction is the
one Barack Obama has announced, presumably having picked it up from
hard-nosed military people: If the Pakistanis won’t crush the Taliban
bases, we’ll come in and do it ourselves.
I am reminded of something a friend of
mine, an old soldier from the Second World War’s European campaign,
said at the start of the Vietnam War. “Just wait until those little
guys in those black pajamas feel the shock of American heavy infantry!”
They felt it, they absorbed it; and a decade later my friend conceded
that the whole thing had been more complicated than he had thought.
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