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Venezuelan Opposition Prepares for Non-Recognition of Chavez Victory. The Unmasking.
By Dr. Francisco Dominguez (Axis of Logic commentary)
Huffington Post. Axis of Logic
Wednesday, Sep 5, 2012

Editor's Comment: Nothing shows the true face of the US-backed opposition in Venezuela more clearly than how they are dealing with this year's presidential election. In his report (below) on the opposition's plan to declare fraud when they lose another election to incumbent president Hugo Chavez Frias Dr. Francisco Dominguez (UK) explains the hypocrisy and irrationality of their plans. Since the 2002 coup, I've interviewed many members of the opposition following the results of referenda and elections reported by the National Electoral Commission (CNE), asking them if they have confidence in this electoral body. To the last one, they have always stated their distrust. Even when they won the 2007 referendum on re-writing the 1999 constitution, they answered that they had won by a larger percentage than reported by the CNE. But as Dr. Dominquez says of the opposition's coalition of political parties known as "Mesa de la Unidad" (MUD),

"It has not rejected the CNE results that saw its presidential candidate Henry Caprioles Radonski elected as a state governor, Chávez's constitutional changes defeated in a referendum or the right-wing win dozens of governors, mayors and MPs."

When Hugo Chavez wins the presidential election on October 7, we can expect them to cry fraud because it is only one of the two means left to them to continue their attempts to overthrow the Venezuelan government. The Venezuelan people call it the opposition's alternative to democracy or "Plan B" - or - "Plan V" for violence.

(Photos and related comments by Axis of Logic)

- Les Blough in Venezuela

Tibisay Lucena, president of the
National Electoral Commission (CNE)

The CNE is composed mainly of five officials. They are nominated by civil society and elected by a majority vote of the unicameral National Assembly. CNE rulings are made by a majority decision (three out of five) of the five officials. Currently, members of the CNE are Sandra Oblitas Ruzza (Vice President, President of the Civil and Electoral Registry Commission), Vicente José Gregorio Díaz Silva (President of the Political Participation and Finance Commission), Socorro Elizabeth Hernández Hernández (Member of the National Electoral Commission) and Tania D' Amelio Cardiet (Member of the Civil and Electoral Registry Commission). The CNE also has a general secretary, Xavier Antonio Moreno Reyes, and a juridical consultant, Roberto Ignacio Mirabal Acosta.

Venezuela's presidential election this year will take place on October 7 and regional elections on December 16, 2012

Venezuelans go to the polls on 7 October to elect their president. The main choice is between the incumbent Hugo Chavez and Henrique Capriles Radonski, a right-wing state governor with strong ties to the country's elite.

Yet with more than a month to go, sections of Venezuela's right wing opposition coalition seem to have made up their mind about the outcome. With substantial poll leads for Hugo Chávez they appear to be preparing to decry the official results as a fraud.

Ricardo Hausmann, a key Capriles economic adviser, recently said his campaign will announce their own results to the world before the official announcement is made by Venezuela's independent National Electoral Council (CNE), the equivalent of Britain's Electoral Commission. Their approach seems to be that unless the results go their way, the CNE's official results will be rejected by the opposition.

As Eleazar Diza Rangel, editor of Venezuela's main national newspaper Ultimas Noticias - broadly sympathetic to the anti-Chávez opposition - recently explained the purpose of attempts "to claim fraud at the coming presidential elections of 7 October [would be] in order not to recognise the people's will".

Whatever views are held of the Chávez government, its democratic mandate is without doubt. There is certainly no evidence from previous elections of fraud.

This will be Venezuela's 15th election since Chavez became President in 1999. All have been declared free and fair including by international bodies such as the EU and Organisation of American State. Just last month, Jennifer McCoy, director at the Carter Center, described Venezuela's electronic voting system as one of the most reliable in the world. At the coming elections, the Union of South American Nations will amongst the 200 international observers.

Any doubt about the impartiality of the CNE in organising free elections is surely swept aside by the fact that earlier this year Venezuela's main right-wing opposition coalition, the MUD, organised for it to conduct the right's Presidential primaries. The MUD Executive Secretary described the CNE's role in this selection as "an excellent indication of the democratic institutions in the country". It is not serious for the right-wing coalition to endorse the CNE as a legitimate electoral authority in February and denounce it in October.

The truth is that any opposition attempt to cry fraud is really about covering up its own political failings. Polls carried out by the major companies indicate a clear win for Hugo Chávez, with leads of between 15-27% in each of the 8 major polls carried out in July. August's polls give similar results.

Rejecting the results in the face of a Hugo Chavez victory would be totally consistent with the Venezuelan right-wing's record of resorting to undemocratic means. Most well known is the short-lived coup against the democratically-elected Chavez government in 2002 which abolished democracy altogether until it was overturned by popular demonstrations. Soon after in 2003, they unleashed a 64-day oil industry lock-out that saw GDP collapse by a third with the declared aim of ousting President Chavez. They then claimed fraud at the 2004 recall referendum to decide if Hugo Chávez would continue as President, which he won 58% to 42%. The opposition promised to provide the evidence but eight years on they have yet to produce it. And faced with certain defeat, they decided to boycott the 2005 parliamentary elections to distract from their unpopularity, a move opposed by the Organisation of American States.

Since then opposition has sought to use the democratic process to remove Hugo Chavez. It has not rejected the CNE results that saw its presidential candidate Henry Caprioles Radonski elected as a state governor, Chávez's constitutional changes defeated in a referendum or the right-wing win dozens of governors, mayors and MPs.

But faced with Hugo Chávez being elected for another six years, they now seem set to be resorting to old habits.

Any such manoeuvres to undermine the real outcome need to be widely condemned. It is the right of the Venezuelan people to freely determine who their next president is. Their will must be upheld and respected.

Dr Francisco Dominguez is Head of the Centre for Brazilian and Latin American Studies at Middlesex University in the UK.

Source: Huffington Post