Introduction
The Obama Administration actively pressured Europe to impose harsh sanctions on
Russia in order to defend the violent takeover (‘regime change’) in the
Ukraine. England, France, Germany and the rest of the European regimes gave in
to Washington’s demands. Russia responded by imposing reciprocal sanctions,
especially on agriculture goods, and is establishing alternative trading
partners and increasing trade with China, Iran, Latin America and Africa.
The sanctions policies occur at a time when Europe’s economies are in deep
economic crisis, exacerbating long-term stagnation and chronic recession. This
paper will identify and analyze the crisis and how US-led sanctions policy is
fracturing the European Union. Secondly, we will analyze how Washington’s
militarist imperial policies undermine Europe economically and destabilize the
rest of the world militarily. Thirdly, we will discuss how the European leaders
are prodded by Washington, to put it crudely, through an aggressive ‘buggering
process’, to surrender their economic sovereignty and how capitulation to the
US project in the Ukraine will lead to their long-term decline and decay. Finally,
we will discuss the long-term perspectives for a re-aligned world economy where
military conflicts can result in large-scale changes.
From Stagnation to Recession from Sanctions to Depression
Across Europe, without exception, recession stalks the economies. The dominant
countries, Germany, France and Italy are mired in recession, acutely
exacerbated by the sanctions against Russia dictated from Washington. From
Nordic Finland, passing through the Baltic States to Central and Southern
Europe, the Eurozone ‘recovery’ is ‘kaput’! The ‘triple whammy’ of capitalist
disinvestment, economic sanctions and wars has provoked a deepening economic
crisis.
Germany: Regime ‘Lick-Spittle’ Scares Industry and Financial Sectors
The German financial market’s confidence is collapsing as a result of Chancellor
Merkel’s support for economic sanctions against Russia and President Putin’s
reciprocal response. Several hundred thousand German industrial jobs are at
risk; imports of Russian oil and gas are in danger; large-scale, long-term
German investments and lucrative export markets are at stake. These fears and
uncertainties have led to declining investment and an unprecedented negative
growth of 0.2% in the German economy in the second quarter of 2014. The
recession in Germany ripples throughout Europe – especially affecting Poland,
the Czech Republic, Hungary and Southern Europe.
Merkel’s servile capitulation to the US President’s command to sanction one of
Germany’s major trade partners, Russia, may seriously harm its economic future.
Germany’s industrial exports to Russia amount to 36 billion Euros; there are 20
billion Euros in annual investments; and over 400,000 German workers are
employed in companies exporting to Russia . . . Joe Kaeser, CEO of Siemens,
pointedly argued that “political tensions posed serious risks for Europe’s
growth this year and next”. Sales in some sectors are down 15% since June 2014.
Germany’s economy was already facing stagnation even before the coup in Kiev .
. .but machinery exporters are especially concerned about losing the Russian
market because other markets have declined. For example, German sales to Brazil
are down nearly 20%.
In addition, German farmers suffer: Export of German meat and meat products to
Russia amount to 276 million Euros or 21% of their non-EU exports. German dairy
farmers earned $160 million Euros from trade with Russia, 14% of total exports
to non-EU countries.
Merkel knowingly sacrificed German industry, agriculture and employment by
submitting to Obama’s policy of ‘buggering his European allies’. On the other
hand, Obama’s sanctions against Russia have virtually no impact on US economic
interests. Only the Europeans will feel the pinch. Merkel’s support for the
US-NATO coup in Kiev and the ongoing military assault against the anti-coup
democrats in Eastern Ukraine is leading to a revival of the Cold War
confrontational policies toward Russia, and has alienated the majority of
German producers and exporters as well as the German public.
Italy: Capitalist Crises and Sanctions
Italy is stuck in a half decade of profound recession continuing throughout
2014. Its GDP fell by 0.2% in the second quarter, bringing the GDP below the
level in the year 2000! The sanctions against Russia have cost Italy over $1
billion in lost exports, hitting Northern Italy most acutely and provoking the
ire of the conservative Northern League. Big Italian energy companies, with
major investments in Russia, face even bigger losses. Italian farmers, from
Tuscany to Sicily, are experiencing major losses in agricultural exports. In
other words, with sanctions Italy’s chronic sick economy has lost any chance
for recovery and will likely pass from recession into depression.
France: From Zero Growth to Recession
France has entered a period of perpetual regression: Unemployment exceeds 11%,
underemployment and ‘make work’ exceeds 20% . . . GDP hovers at recession
levels, between zero and 0.5% . . . Austerity, involving large-scale cuts in
social programs and tax write-offs for business, has eroded consumer spending
without increasing capitalist investment. And Obama’s sanctions against Russia
will further damage French exporters, especially its agricultural sector and
weapons manufacturers. And ‘Hyper-Militarist-Socialist’ President Hollande has
exacerbated France’s balance of payments and budget problems by sending the air
force and ground troops to intervene on three continents. This has caused over
82% of French voters to choose alternative parties, propelling the nationalist
right party, National Front, to the lead.
The ‘Backside of Europe’: Spain, Greece and Portugal
Deeply buried in a near decade-long depression with unemployment ranging from
26% in Greece and Spain to 16% in Portugal, Russia’s reciprocal sanctions
against agricultural exports has hit their agro-export sectors most severely,
causing mountains of grapes, tomatoes and other perishables to rot in the
fields. Tons of Southern Europe’s produce will end up as compost. Tens of
thousands of farmers face even greater problems and more will be forced into
bankruptcy because of Washington’s dictates.
Spanish farmers stand to lose 158 million Euros from the sanctions against
their fresh fruit and nuts, or 22% of their total exports to non-EU countries;
Greek farmers will lose 107 million Euros, 41% of exports to non-EU countries. Spanish
meat exporters will lose 111 million Euros or 13% of their non-EU markets.
The European Union, for its part, offers meager relief – expecting thousands of
hard-pressed farmers to submit to Obama’s demands. In the meantime, as Russia
establishes alternative markets in Latin America, the EU has sent its
emissaries overseas to beg the Latin American governments to reject
multi-billion dollar agro-business deals with Russia and comply with the US-EU
sanctions. So far, every country in Latin America has rejected the EU’s ‘charm’
offensive. Ecuadorean President Correa heaped scorn on the EU: “We do not have
to ask anyone’s permission to export to friendly nations. As far as I know,
Latin America is not part of the European Union”. Egypt and Turkey are stepping
in to replace the farmers of Europe and the US by exporting their agricultural
produce to Russia.
Hungary, Bulgaria, Poland, Finland, Lithuania, Denmark and the Netherlands
Hungary’s President Viktor Orban rages at the sanctions and threatens to break
ranks, as Budapest tallies up its losses in exports, and the threat to its
energy-dependent country. Bulgaria’s compliant President caved into Brussels’
pressure and reneged on a $40 billion dollar pipeline deal signed between
Russia and local Bulgarian business leaders precipitating a major banking
crisis and the collapse of its second largest bank – Corbank. The deposits of
hundreds of thousands of Bulgarians were frozen or just disappeared. When
Brussels buggers the Bulgarians, they bankrupt their own banks.
Finland, once the poster-child of the ‘Third Way’ ideologues, is in a long-term
depression. Its economy has shrunk for the past 4 consecutive years and even
regime optimists estimate that they will need 10 years to recover. Finnish
Prime Minister, Alex Stubbs, a free market ideologue, is a staunch supporter of
sanctions against Russia although these will drastically cut into agricultural
exports (dairy goods, meat, fish, etc.). Stubbs defends his catastrophic
capitulation to NATO’s power grab in the Kiev by proclaiming that “our
principles (sic) are not for sale; we believe in international institutions; we
believe in the rule of law”. Finland, under its ‘law-abiding’ President, will
lose at least 253 million Euros this year or 68% of its exports to non-EU
countries. In other words this political marionette has sacrificed the welfare
of hundreds of thousands of Finnish dairy farmers and growers to support a
NATO-imposed regime in Kiev, which has been sending units of neo-Nazis to
slaughter Ukrainian resistance fighters and civilians.
Poland’s billion dollar agricultural export trade with Russia has collapsed,
causing Warsaw to beg Washington and Brussels for emergency subsidies and
pleading with the apple-exporting Americans to ‘eat Polish apples’. Polish
fruit growers will lose 317 million Euros in sales or 61% of their exports to
non-EU countries. Their meat exporters will lose 162 million Euros, 20% of its
trade with non-EU countries. Dairy farmers will lose 142 million Euros, 32% of exports
to non-EU countries.
The Poles, who at every turn have assumed the most reactionary Russophobic
posture and were deeply implicated in organizing and training the neo-fascist
gangs which overthrew the elected Ukraine government, are now pushing carts
down the streets of Warsaw peddling apples and sausages, instead of stocking
the supermarket shelves of Russia – and whining that New Yorkers should forsake
Upstate apples to take up the slack!
Lithuania will lose 308 million Euros in fresh fruit exports to Russia or 81%
of their exports to non-EU countries; dairy farmers will lose 161 million Euros
in sales or 74% of non-EU exports. Denmark and Holland will lose over 800
million Euros in agro-exports to Russia –deepening their recession.
Conclusion
While the ever-persuasive con-man in Washington, President Obama has buggered
EU leaders into pushing their own economies even deeper into recession, so he
can launch a new Cold War with Russia, the US plunges deeper into military
confrontations in Iraq, Ukraine and Syria. Obama appears to have lost control
over military aid programs in the chaos: Netanyahu’s Zionist allies in Congress
managed to by-pass the White House and State Department and approve additional
shipments of Pentagon arms to Israel, undercutting any administration leverage
over the ongoing Israeli genocide in Gaza.
Japan joins the US-EU sanctions against Russia exacerbating its own economic
crisis: In 2014 Japan experienced its worst contraction since 2009, with a 7.1%
drop in the second quarter. The increasingly unpopular, Japanese Prime Minister
Abe is committed to a military build-up. More Japanese politicians visit
Yasukuni Shrine, the militarist temple honoring its war criminals, re-awakening
the horrific memories of Imperial Japan’s victims. There are increasingly
bellicose Japanese confrontations with China over disputed piles of rock in the
South China Sea . . . As Obama’s military pivot to Asia increases, so Japan’s
economy sinks.
No European country can benefit from embracing the failed regime in Kiev. . .
Ukraine’s currency is in free-fall – ranking below soiled toilet paper. Its
major industries, totally dependent on trade with Russia, are bankrupt or have
been bombed by the NATO-putsch regime in Kiev. Its agricultural exports are
devastated. Meanwhile Ukrainian families are advised to chop their own wood or
dig their own coal in anticipation of a winter totally cut off from Russian gas
because the oligarchs in Kiev have been unable or unwilling to pay the huge
energy debt. . For their staunch support of this bankrupt regime, ruled by a
‘Billionaire Oligarch’ in Kiev, for upholding the ‘principles’ so lauded by
Finnish President Stubbs, one million European farmers will bury their own
apples, pour their own milk in the streets and dump their grapes, oranges and
tomatoes in rotting heaps. . . And this is so their leaders, Obama, Cameron,
Merkel and Hollande can uphold their real ‘principles’ of territorial
expansion, extend their military operations to the borders with Russia and
posture as warriors while destroying their countries productive economies,
bankrupting their farmers and manufacturers, driving millions more into
unemployment and deepening the pains of recession.
Ukraine will join a growing list of countries, Libya, Egypt, Syria, Iraq,
Afghanistan, Pakistan, Somalia and Yemen, that Washington and NATO have “saved”
(to paraphrase an American general) . . . by being destroyed.
Once again the US military-driven empire-building policy trumps economic
development: Destructive wars and sanctions destroy viable markets and
impoverish entire sectors of the economy. Imposing sanctions abroad invites
retaliation – the boomerang effect cripples domestic producers. As world trade
and investment shrink, internal stagnation becomes endemic, recessions deepen
and recovery becomes a distant chimera. The financial press, the Wall Street
Journal and The Financial Times, which have become megaphones for the western
warlords, no longer publish paeans to the free market but unleash vitriolic
screeds crying for war and sanctions….. which close markets and destroy
investor confidence.
Buggered by Obama, European bootlickers bankrupt their own economies and then
pass around the begging cup.
Italy faces the reality of a decade of stagnation.
Portugal’s economy crashes and crawls.
Germany’s manufacturing machinery grinds to a halt.
Finland’s ‘principled’ brown-nosing boomerangs.
England is converted into a money-laundering bankers’ city-state where
one-third of its children live in poverty.
Poland consumes itself, drunk with weapons and rotting apples.
In a word, by submitting to Washington’s doctrine of permanent wars, Europe
eschews the only road out of permanent crisis: peaceful co-existence. The
mega-buggers in Washington and the bootlickers in Europe have chosen sanctions
over trade and destruction over prosperity. They are paying a price: domestic
unrest, displacement from markets by emerging economies and the ascendancy of
chaos as a way of life in Western Europe.
© Copyright 2014 by AxisofLogic.com
This material is available for republication as long as reprints include verbatim copy of the article in its entirety, respecting its integrity. Reprints must cite the author and Axis of Logic as the original source including a "live link" to the article. Thank you!
|