At the start of the last decade, in March 2000, the European Union
heads of state announced the Lisbon Strategy. Its aim, by 2010, was to
make Europe “the most competitive and dynamic knowledge-based economy
in the world, capable of sustainable economic growth with more and
better jobs and greater social cohesion.” This would create “the
conditions for full employment and the strengthening of regional
cohesion in the European Union.”
As the second decade of the
21st century begins, the aspirations set forth in the Portuguese
capital have evaporated. Instead of full employment, Europe is gripped
by mass unemployment; instead of economic growth, there is stagnation;
in place of cohesion, there is discord. Even the common currency, the
foundation of the lofty plans of Lisbon, is in acute danger.
The
Lisbon Strategy was the expression of widespread illusions that Europe,
by means of EU enlargement and deeper integration, could catch up with
or even overtake the US as a major power. This would happen entirely as
a result of a united Europe’s economic power, without the social
tensions and political and military conflicts of an earlier period.
These
illusions found their clearest expression in a speech by then-German
Foreign Minister Joschka Fischer (Green Party) in May 2000 at Berlin’s
Humboldt University. Fischer called for the transformation of the
European Union from a loose alliance of states into a federation.
Through
the “close integration of their vital interests and the transfer of
national sovereignty rights to supranational European institutions,”
said Fischer, the European states would signal their rejection of the
national conflicts that had torn apart the continent prior to 1945.
Only in this way would Europe be able to “play its due role in the
global economic and political competition.”
Since then,
Fischer’s idea that Europe could be harmoniously organized on a
capitalist basis has proven to be pipe dream. In Paris, and especially
in London, his proposal was interpreted as an attempt to subjugate
Europe to the dictates of Berlin. The EU’s enlargement into Eastern
Europe has turned out to be a double-edged sword. It has brought not
only the expansion of the internal market, but also political strife
and instability.
In 2003, the US attacked Iraq, dividing Europe.
While the British and Polish governments fully supported the war, the
German and French were opposed. The American administration used the
conflict to drive a wedge between “old” and “new” Europe.
The
European Constitution, what remained of Fischer’s concept, failed in
2005 at the hands of French and Dutch voters, who interpreted it
correctly as an attempt to subordinate the people of Europe to the
dictates of the most powerful financial and economic interests. After a
diplomatic and political tug of war that lasted several years, the
basic framework of the European Constitution came into being in the
form of the Lisbon Treaty. But by then, Berlin and Paris had largely
lost interest. This was demonstrated in the appointment to the two new
key positions—the council president and the European foreign
minister—of secondary figures without any authority.
With the
coming to power of Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel, France and
Germany had turned again to a more independent foreign policy, with a
stronger focus towards the US. In 2005, German Chancellor Gerhard
Schröder (Social Democratic Party) had left office prematurely, amongst
other things because his foreign policy orientation towards Russia had
led to his increasing isolation. But the hope that Washington would
respond with increasing concern for European interests has remained
unfulfilled, even after the change from President George W. Bush to
Barack Obama.
The international financial and economic crisis
has now brought all the unresolved contradictions of European domestic
and foreign policy to the surface. In the conflict between the US and
China, which increasingly dominates the world stage, Europe is being
pushed to the edge and torn apart.
The German and French
governments are bitter that Washington decided on a massive expansion
of the Afghan war without prior consultation with its NATO allies. On
the one hand, they do not want to leave the strategically important
region to the sole influence of the United States; on the other, they
fear that in an ever escalating war they could become mere agents of
the USA. The failure of the Copenhagen climate change summit, which
Europe lays at the door of the American and Chinese governments, has
caused further anger.
The economic crisis has laid bare the
inherent weakness of the European economy. The huge budget deficits in
Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and Spain threaten to break the euro’s
back. So far, the common currency has prevented a massive devaluation
and accompanying surge in inflation, but the high value of the euro,
coupled with rising interest rates, makes it impossible for the
Eurozone countries to overcome the crisis on the basis of the free
market. Brussels has responded by calling for draconian cuts in
government spending, particularly in the social sector.
Britain,
which is not a member of the Eurozone, is becoming the sick man of
Europe. Its economy is heavily dependent on the financial sector. In
the last ten years, the number of manufacturing jobs in the UK has
declined by 30 percent. Over the same period in Germany and France, the
decline was far less, 5 and 10 percent respectively. To rescue the
financial sector from collapse, the British government has taken on
debt on a vast scale. The value of the pound has fallen
correspondingly. Another banking crisis would quickly raise the specter
of a British default on its sovereign debt.
For Germany, and, to
a lesser extent, France, their relative economic strength has proven to
be their Achilles’ heel. Industrial production in Germany, as a
percentage of gross domestic product, is more than twice the figure for
the US. The relative strength of German industrial production is bound
up with a massive increase in German exports. Over the past 20 years,
Germany’s production for export has risen from about 20 percent to 47
percent of GDP. Even China’s exports account for only 36 percent of its
GDP.
This large dependence on industrial exports has made
Germany especially vulnerable to the impact of the international
economic crisis. Last year, economic output declined by 5.3 percent.
Engineering production is currently running at only 70 percent of
capacity, and according to experts, the prospects for improvement are
slim.
The German export industry is under massive pressure from
both the US and China. The United States has exploited the low dollar
and its low wage levels, established with brute force as part of the
reorganization of the US auto industry, to gain a competitive advantage
against its European competitors. Symbolic in this respect was the
partial shift of production of the Mercedes S-Class from Germany to the
United States. For its part, China is now pushing into market segments
that were once the preserve of the Germans, due to their high quality
standards.
The European and German elite are reacting to the
growing problems and contradictions as they did at the start of the
last century: with social and political attacks on the working class
and with increasing militarism.
Many governments seem paralysed,
given the growing foreign policy problems and internal conflicts. The
Christian Democratic-Free Democratic government in Berlin has succumbed
to internal squabbles since taking office in November. Chancellor
Merkel has been accused on all sides of a lack of determination and
weak leadership. But behind the scenes, there is an intensive search
for new mechanisms of rule to facilitate the shifting of the
consequences of the economic crisis onto the working class, the methods
of social compromise having been largely exhausted.
It is in
this context that the ongoing assault on democratic rights is being
intensified, in part through the fomenting of terrorist scares and the
stoking up of resentment against Muslims. Among those at the forefront
of these reactionary efforts are the German Social Democrat Thilo
Sarrazin and the former Socialist Party politician and current French
Immigration Minister Eric Besson. The Swiss referendum against the
construction of minarets has been followed attentively and
sympathetically by these circles. Such measures represent an attempt to
divert attention from class issues and mobilize right-wing layers of
the middle class to be thrown at some point against the working class.
Working
people must draw their own conclusions from the failure of the
bourgeoisie’s European plans. European workers must unite in order to
defend their own social and political interests. They must fight for a
socialist Europe, under the banner of the United Socialist States of
Europe.
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