Who Will Fill the Political Void?
Entering the third year of the revolt in Egypt, no
amount of repression seems able to contain the swelling pressure
exploding throughout the country the last several weeks. In fact,
protests against the Muslim Brotherhood government of President Mohammed
Morsi seem to be gaining support.
The truth is, the revolution in Egypt is deeper and more profound than any of the other valiant examples of the Arab Spring.
“We are not always coming together in protests,” 28-year old
unemployed accountant, Saber, told me as he arrived for a demonstration
in Tahrir Square last week. “Most workers have families which they must
feed, so they go to work. Other youth, like myself, have nothing to
lose. Our future is past.”
As Saber explains, political sympathy among the population cannot
always be measured in the size of the recurring protests. But for sure,
the rebellion remains alive.
When Hosni Mubarak’s dictatorship fell on Feb. 11, 2011, the decayed
state structures collapsed along with him. Social and political
institutions running Mubarak’s regime were in complete shatters. His
regime was exposed as a very thin layer of corrupt officials and family
His political party was outlawed, his parliament dissolved, his
cabinet disbanded, local municipal councils in disarray and his secret
police dispersed. Significantly, Mubarak’s national labor federation,
already thoroughly discredited, had its national leadership temporarily
dismissed as well.
All these steps occurred under pressure of the mass revolt.
This sweeping disintegration was unique to Egypt and it had
revolutionary consequences because the political and social void was
filled by an energized people raising demands unrestrained by residual
conservative institutions and parties.
The authentic voice of the Egyptian people was heard without filters
and this form of direct action politics put unprecedented pressure on
authorities to enact meaningful reforms.
The 500,000-strong army was the only Mubarak institution left
standing. It was also quite unscathed because it had historically
avoided conflicts with the population, leaving that abhorrent chore to
the despised Ministry of Interior security force.
It was left to the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF),
therefore, to fill the empty political space. There was no credible
alternative representing the old order.
But, as it turned out, the prestige enjoyed by the army did not last
out the year. Protests against military violence and arbitrary military
trials grew increasingly larger until the Muslim Brotherhood government
finally took over in 2012.
Now this government, after only six months in power, faces the same stiff resistance to its rule as did the military.
Direct Action Prevails over Parliamentary Debates
Yet, the struggle continues at a high level in Egypt because, as I
argue, the unfiltered voice of the people is being heard through the
organization of street protests.
By contrast, in Tunisia, a massive trade union confederation helped
lead the revolt. It became a huge factor in initially stabilizing and
giving credibility to the new post-revolutionary regime and Parliament.
Currently, however, this government is undergoing severe criticism for
failing to lead the country out of economic stagnation and for including
many remnants from the regime of ousted dictator Ben Ali.
Nonetheless, despite its current problems, there was definitely a
period of stabilization and broad acceptance of the initial transition
in Tunisia that simply never emerged in Egypt.
In fact, the new Egyptian Parliamentary elections in 2011 were
immediately met with controversial charges of Muslim Brotherhood
manipulation. The reputation of the newly elected parliament was further
eroded after legislators failed to enact even one meaningful reform.
Even an increase in the minimum wage was enacted in 2011 by a court,
not by parliament. And there are credible charges that the government
has since actually obstructed its implementation.
As a result, millions have no confidence in the governing institutions reconstructed since Mubarak.
Unsolved Economic Tasks of the Revolution
Democratic and justice concerns of Egyptians are compounded by
growing concerns for the third demand of the Jan. 25, 2011 revolt –
The economy has actually worsened since Mubarak fell. The Egyptian
pound suffered seven percent inflation since December, tourism is down
some 20 percent, petrol subsidies have been reduced and President Morsi
very cautiously floated in December possible sales tax hikes, food and
commodity subsidy reductions and cuts in the number of state employees
as a result of International Monetary Fund loan stipulations.
Furthermore, according to Stanford University historian Prof. Joel
Beinin, “the Muslim Brothers embrace the same neoliberal policies
favored by the Mubarak regime and, if anything, envision an even more
expansive program of privatization of public assets.”
When I cited World Bank statistics claiming 40 percent of Egyptians
live on two dollars a day, Mohammed, a thirty-two old Cairo physical
therapist with two children, immediately interrupted me to say that it
is “below two dollars a day now! Doctors working in a hospital like me,
we must work three jobs with four or five extra shifts and even then I
have to postpone paying all my bills to the last minute.”
His friend, Mahmoud, is also a doctor and agreed. “It is worse now.
The rich are still rich but the poor are more poor. And, when John Kerry
came to Egypt, he met with Morsi and other top leaders. He did not meet
with poor people like us. The U.S. likes to support those in charge.”
Asked if people are getting tired from all the protests, Mohammed
matter of factly responded that “we will not get tired because nothing
Saber, the unemployed accountant, explained further: “We chose Morsi.
We thought his religion would make him more compassionate and he would
listen to us. But now after six months, it is worse. So we come back to
Tahrir to make another revolution.” And he very consciously added in
response to my questions about the government, the military and the
parliament that “we must do this ourselves.”
Thus, the voices heard in Tahrir and in protests throughout the
country demanding genuine democracy, real social justice and significant
economic improvements hold more credibility among the majority of
Egyptians than any of the institutions of power and it is this reality
that keeps the rebellion growing.
But history also teaches us the hard lesson that state institutions
representing old elite powers, no matter how unresponsive, can recover
by disguising their goals and by making compromises with sections of
their opposition whose economic interests are not so very different from
Of course, this would mean once again that the majority of Egyptians would be left out in the cold.
As an alternative, a new Egypt can arise when the youth, unemployed,
women and working class, sharing similar economic objectives, unite
nationally in a new, mass political force that combines electoral and
direct action mobilizations challenging the power of the elite to
finally establish a democratic, just and economically prosperous society
benefiting the majority.
The future of this great country will be determined by which social
force, the bottom or the top, actually succeeds in filling the political
void that so far has made Egypt’s revolution so unique and so powerful.
Carl Finamore is Machinist Lodge 1781 delegate
to the San Francisco Labor Council, AFL-CIO. He just returned from his
third visit to Egypt. He can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org